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8yo Gelding · 9-4
Deauville · Prix De Bayeux Handicap · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
73%
Place Prob
59%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-16 | Nantes | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength96%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 79% | +0.15 |
| 25/05/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.46 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |