14
Goldfield
5yo Gelding · 8-13
Deauville · Prix De Bayeux Handicap · 7f 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 20/09/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 14/04/2026 | 13th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 12/05/2026 | 16th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 07/06/2026 | 15th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |