9
Hayejohn
6yo Gelding · 9-2
Deauville · Prix De Bayeux Handicap · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 91% | -0.01 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |