7

Honey Pearl
3yo Filly · 9-4
Deauville · Prix De Bayeux Handicap · 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 21/11/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 02/07/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |