13
Makarov
4yo Gelding · 8-13
Deauville · Prix De Bayeux Handicap · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-02-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 12th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 22/01/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 87% | +0.04 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |