4
Marharry
5yo Gelding · 9-5
Deauville · Prix De Bayeux Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-21 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 22/08/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 22/09/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 18/11/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 62% | +0.01 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 21/01/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 45% | -0.12 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |