3
Montgaudry
6yo Gelding · 9-5
Deauville · Prix De Bayeux Handicap · 7f 209y
#12
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-21 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 93% | +0.06 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 21/01/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.05 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 24/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 16/04/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 36% | -0.45 |
| 15/06/2026 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.42 |