12
Niederbronn
3yo Colt · 9-1
Deauville · Prix De Bayeux Handicap · 7f 209y
#16
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-10-04 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 13th | 16th | −3 |
| 2025-08-31 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 04/10/2025 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |