8
Wicked
4yo Gelding · 9-3
Deauville · Prix De Bayeux Handicap · 7f 209y
#11
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Goodwood | 4 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-07-31 | Goodwood | 3 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2025-05-29 | Sandown | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2024 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 58% | -0.26 |
| 27/04/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 16/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 29/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 31/07/2025 | 14th | 8/1 | 58% | 7% | -0.51 |
| 23/08/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 05/09/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |