6

Aeronef

3yo Colt · 8-13

Deauville · Prix Michel Houyvet Listed Stakes · 1m 6f 200y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ ParisLongchamp 19/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m208y GS 12819/10C5C5 @ Deauville 25/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12825/11C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 24/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12824/03C51 @ Saint-Cloud 17/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12517/041projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-17Saint-Cloud11st1st0
2026-03-24Saint-Cloud?1st5th4
2025-11-25Deauville?2nd6th4
2025-10-19ParisLongchamp?7th11th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1025/1124/0317/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/10/20257th7/282%14%-0.67
25/11/20252nd5/493%89%-0.05
24/03/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
17/04/20261st6/594%100%+0.06