3
Box Officer
3yo Gelding · 8-13
Deauville · Prix Michel Houyvet Listed Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Argentan | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 87% | +0.31 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |