9
Hepburn
3yo Filly · 8-10
Deauville · Prix Michel Houyvet Listed Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 63% | -0.28 |
| 21/12/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 73% | -0.13 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 56% | -0.34 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |