IvyArcIvyArc
1

Poker

3yo Colt · 8-13 · OR 80

Deauville · Prix Michel Houyvet Listed Stakes · 1m 6f 200y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

73%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Haydock 26/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f212y GS 13326/0945 @ Redcar 27/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 13027/1052 @ Haydock 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m3f175y Goo 13025/0421 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 80 · 1m4f6y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 80 par6/061OR 802 @ Doncaster 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m3f197y GF 130 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 80 par9/072OR 80projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Doncaster28th9th−1
2026-06-06Epsom Downs113th12th+1
2026-04-25Haydock22nd3rd−1
2025-10-27Redcar52nd7th−4
2025-09-26Haydock46th10th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0927/1025/046/069/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength37%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20256th11/893%38%-0.55
27/10/20252nd9/276%83%+0.07
25/04/20262nd10/147%67%+0.19
06/06/202613th80/10%0%0.00
09/07/20268th8/158%0%-0.58