IvyArcIvyArc
7

Tardar

3yo Colt · 8-13

Deauville · Prix Michel Houyvet Listed Stakes · 1m 6f 200y

#9

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ ParisLongchamp 05/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Hvy 1285/04C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1288/05C52 @ Saint-Cloud 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12512/062projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-12Saint-Cloud24th5th−1
2026-05-08Lyon-Parilly?4th8th−4
2026-04-05ParisLongchamp?9th13th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/048/0512/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength72%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20269th80/10%0%0.00
08/05/20264th22/10%57%+0.57
12/06/20264th22/10%40%+0.40