5
Victoire Magique
3yo Colt · 8-13
Deauville · Prix Michel Houyvet Listed Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#7
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 10th | 14th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 10/03/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |