2

Canneza

4yo Filly · 9-2

Deauville · Prix Isola Bella Listed Stakes · 7f 100y

#9

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 10
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 16/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12816/05C5C5 @ Vichy 17/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 124C0 @ Deauville 19/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12919/08C?C0 @ Chantilly 27/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 128C0 @ Deauville 26/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 6f101y Std 12326/11C?3 @ Deauville 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 124C0 @ Chantilly 26/03/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12526/03C?10 @ ParisLongchamp 23/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1231 @ ParisLongchamp 14/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 12314/051projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-14ParisLongchamp18th8th0
2026-04-23ParisLongchamp104th4th0
2026-03-26Chantilly?15th15th0
2026-02-06Deauville33rd6th2
2025-11-26Deauville?5th5th0
2025-10-27Chantilly?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0527/1026/0314/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20253rd3/184%82%-0.02
17/07/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
19/08/202512th7/163%27%-0.36
27/10/20252nd13/266%93%+0.27
26/11/20255th7/282%73%-0.08
06/02/20263rd7/163%71%+0.08
26/03/202615th25/10%7%+0.07
23/04/20264th50/10%50%+0.50
14/05/20268th40/10%22%+0.22