1
La Mandala
5yo Filly · 9-2
Deauville · Prix Isola Bella Listed Stakes · 7f 100y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-11-12 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 21/07/2025 | 12th | 11/2 | 71% | 21% | -0.50 |
| 19/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |