IvyArcIvyArc
6

Moonlabel

3yo Filly · 8-9

Deauville · Prix Isola Bella Listed Stakes · 7f 100y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Lion D'angers 18/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12418/07C5C5 @ Deauville 05/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f100y Gd 1255/08C5C5 @ Chantilly 15/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12515/09C52 @ Le Mans 04/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 1224/0321 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12227/031C1 @ ParisLongchamp 07/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1237/06C11 @ Deauville 04/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1234/071projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Deauville18th8th0
2026-06-07ParisLongchamp?4th4th0
2026-03-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat16th6th−0
2026-03-04Le Mans21st2nd−1
2025-09-15Chantilly?6th10th−4
2025-08-05Deauville?7th11th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/074/034/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
05/08/20257th20/10%0%0.00
15/09/20256th25/10%38%+0.38
04/03/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
27/03/20266th15/890%38%-0.53
07/06/20264th25/10%67%+0.67
04/07/20268th33/10%46%+0.46