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11

Bolkhov

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Deauville · Prix De Crepon Handicap · 7f 209y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 23/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12423/12C5C5 @ Deauville 30/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 128C5 @ Chantilly 20/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12820/02C54 @ Fontainebleau 06/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 123C5 @ Compiegne 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12825/04C5C5 @ Compiegne 09/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1283 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1315/0633 @ ParisLongchamp 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1299/073projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09ParisLongchamp31st1st0
2026-06-05Compiegne33rd3rd0
2026-05-09Compiegne?4th6th−2
2026-04-25Compiegne?3rd5th−2
2026-03-06Fontainebleau45th6th−1
2026-02-20Chantilly?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/126/035/069/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength90%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/12/20258th28/10%22%+0.22
30/01/20262nd12/137%89%+0.52
20/02/20266th12/137%62%+0.25
06/03/20265th13/266%67%+0.01
25/04/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35
09/05/20264th11/271%75%+0.04
05/06/20263rd11/271%85%+0.14
09/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18