9
Mon Black Du Livet
4yo Gelding · 9-3
Deauville · Prix De Crepon Handicap · 7f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 18/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/10/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 03/04/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |