3
Nadir
3yo Gelding · 9-5
Deauville · Prix De Crepon Handicap · 7f 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Moulins | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-02-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 09/12/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 17/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 23/03/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |