8

Steady Success

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Deauville · Prix De Crepon Handicap · 7f 209y

#16

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fontainebleau 07/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1287/03C5C0 @ Dieppe 24/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 139C0 @ Compiegne 06/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1306/06C?C0 @ Chantilly 05/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 139C0 @ Strasbourg 05/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1285/10C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 13/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1294 @ Le Mans 04/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f152y Hvy 1384/0343 @ Saint-Cloud 29/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1234 @ Vichy 13/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 13613/054projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-13Vichy47th8th1
2026-03-29Saint-Cloud35th5th0
2026-03-04Le Mans46th7th1
2025-11-13Fontainebleau?5th5th0
2025-10-05Strasbourg?3rd3rd0
2025-09-05Chantilly?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/035/094/0313/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 16
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength50%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20256th16/116%69%+0.53
24/05/20255th12/137%69%+0.32
06/06/20252nd9/488%92%+0.04
05/09/20252nd11/486%92%+0.07
05/10/20253rd4/179%80%+0.01
13/11/20255th10/382%71%-0.11
04/03/20266th8/158%64%+0.06
29/03/20265th11/271%67%-0.04
13/05/20267th9/276%57%-0.19