4
Stupefiante
4yo Filly · 9-5
Deauville · Prix De Crepon Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 16th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 11/04/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 31% | -0.30 |
| 22/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 20/07/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.31 |