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7

Tevere

3yo Filly · 9-4

Deauville · Prix De Crepon Handicap · 7f 209y

#15

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 11/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12811/12C5C5 @ Chantilly 10/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Std 128C5 @ Chantilly 05/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1285/02C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 06/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 124C5 @ Saint-Cloud 03/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1283/04C5C0 @ ParisLongchamp 26/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y GS 132C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 13123/05C?C0 @ Compiegne 09/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1209/06C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-09Compiegne?10th10th0
2026-05-23Lyon-Parilly?4th4th0
2026-04-26ParisLongchamp?12th12th0
2026-04-03Saint-Cloud?8th10th−2
2026-03-06Fontainebleau?6th8th−2
2026-02-05Chantilly?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/126/0323/059/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength20%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20256th50/10%64%+0.64
10/01/20263rd20/10%83%+0.83
05/02/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72
06/03/20266th15/261%38%-0.23
03/04/20268th10/147%22%-0.25
26/04/202612th66/10%27%+0.27
23/05/20264th20/10%75%+0.75
09/06/202610th66/10%40%+0.40