5

American King

3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 90

Del Mar · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f

#9

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength23%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 27/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 12227/09C6C6 @ Del Mar 30/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 75 par30/10C6OR 75C0 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 14/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/12/2025 · OR 88 par14/12C?OR 88C6 @ Del Mar 19/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 85 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 85 par19/07C6OR 85projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Del Mar?11th11th0
2025-12-14Los Alamitos Racecourse?5th-2th+6
2025-10-30Del Mar?4th4th0
2025-09-27Santa Anita?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0930/1014/1219/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20256th33/10%0%0.00
30/10/20254th40/10%57%+0.57
14/12/20255th40/10%20%+0.20
19/07/202611th50/10%0%0.00