2
Constitution Andi
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 97
Del Mar · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 78% | -0.13 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |