5

Anywaythewindblows

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 103

Del Mar · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 11/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 126 · HIGHER CLASS11/0845 @ Chepstow 25/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f16y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/0855 @ Wolverhampton 22/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m142y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS22/095C7 @ Santa Anita 01/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 67 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 67 par1/03C7OR 67C7 @ Santa Anita 24/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 103 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 103 par24/04C7OR 103C8 @ Santa Anita 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 97 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 97 par8/05C8OR 97C7 @ Santa Anita 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 99 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 99 par5/06C7OR 99projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-05Santa Anita?3rd3rd0
2026-05-08Santa Anita?1st2nd1
2026-04-24Santa Anita?7th7th0
2026-03-01Santa Anita?4th4th0
2025-09-22Wolverhampton51st-1th+2
2025-08-25Chepstow52nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/081/035/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength52%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/08/20257th9/153%45%-0.07
25/08/20252nd20/10%83%+0.83
22/09/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
01/03/20264th11/271%40%-0.31
24/04/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
08/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
05/06/20263rd11/271%50%-0.21