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Eternal Reign

5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 102

Del Mar · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

8/15

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 23/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 109 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/03/2025 · OR 109 par23/03C6OR 109C1 @ Santa Anita 26/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 111 · 1m Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/04/2025 · OR 111 parC6 @ Santa Anita 15/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 106 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/06/2025 · OR 106 par15/06C6OR 106C6 @ Del Mar 15/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 109 · 1m3f Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/08/2025 · OR 109 parC6 @ Santa Anita 19/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 109 · 1m2f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 109 par19/10C6OR 109C6 @ Del Mar 25/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 109 · 1m Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 109 parC6 @ Santa Anita 30/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 108 · 1m1f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/03/2026 · OR 108 par30/03C6OR 108C7 @ Santa Anita 24/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 100 · 1m Fm 126 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 100 parC7 @ Santa Anita 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 98 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 98 par5/06C7OR 98projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-05Santa Anita?2nd2nd0
2026-04-24Santa Anita?1st1st0
2026-03-30Santa Anita?5th4th+1
2025-11-25Del Mar?3rd2nd+1
2025-10-19Santa Anita?4th3rd+1
2025-08-15Del Mar?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0315/0830/035/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength74%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/03/20252nd7/491%88%-0.03
26/04/20256th9/153%50%-0.03
15/06/20253rd6/594%78%-0.16
15/08/20253rd9/488%71%-0.17
19/10/20254th11/1094%50%-0.44
25/11/20253rd11/271%80%+0.09
30/03/20265th9/488%43%-0.45
24/04/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
05/06/20262nd8/1597%75%-0.22