2

Hannah Buckle

5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 105

Del Mar · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

71%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength84%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: +2.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Del Mar 03/09/2024 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 105 · 1m Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/09/2024 · OR 105 par3/09C6OR 105C6 @ Santa Anita 12/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 104 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/10/2024 · OR 104 parC6 @ Del Mar 20/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 102 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/07/2025 · OR 102 par20/07C6OR 102C6 @ Del Mar 30/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 105 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 105 parC6 @ Del Mar 08/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 110 · 1m Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 110 par8/11C6OR 110C1 @ Santa Anita 08/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 113 · 1m1f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/01/2026 · OR 113 parC1 @ Santa Anita 28/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 107 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 107 par28/03C1OR 107C6 @ Santa Anita 30/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 102 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/04/2026 · OR 102 parC6 @ Santa Anita 05/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 103 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 103 par5/06C6OR 103projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-05Santa Anita?6th5th+1
2026-04-30Santa Anita?3rd2nd+1
2026-03-28Santa Anita?4th-3th+6
2026-01-08Santa Anita?4th-3th+6
2025-11-08Del Mar?2nd1st+1
2025-08-30Del Mar?6th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0930/0828/035/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20247th3/184%45%-0.39
12/10/20244th4/179%63%-0.16
20/07/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
30/08/20256th4/179%50%-0.29
08/11/20252nd8/158%88%+0.30
08/01/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
28/03/20264th4/179%25%-0.54
30/04/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
05/06/20266th9/153%44%-0.08