Hey Lil Lady
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 101
Del Mar · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-09-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-07-19 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 06/04/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 14/06/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/07/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 09/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/09/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 30/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |