3
Nikolina
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 92
Del Mar · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 06/04/2025 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 11/05/2025 | 7th | 8/11 | 96% | 14% | -0.82 |
| 13/02/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |