Sunset Grazen
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 80
Del Mar · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 08/11/2024 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 19/01/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/02/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 05/04/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 25/04/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 24/05/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |