4
Wildfire Princess
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 94
Del Mar · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |