7
With Love
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 97
Del Mar · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-01-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2023-11-23 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 0th | +6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2023 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 03/09/2023 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 28/10/2023 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 23/11/2023 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/01/2024 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 8/15 | 97% | 60% | -0.37 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 28/02/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |