Agency
6yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 109
Del Mar · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-24 | Del Mar | ? | +2 | ||
| 2025-06-12 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-03-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-01-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2024-10-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2023 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 07/06/2024 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 03/08/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 07/09/2024 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 14/10/2024 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 03/01/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 22/03/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 16/05/2025 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |