Code Duello
8yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 111
Del Mar · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
53%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 82% | -0.08 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |