9

Fulanito

5yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 101

Del Mar · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength40%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 16/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 94 · 5f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/03/2025 · OR 94 par16/03C6OR 94C6 @ Gulfstream 19/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 96 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2025 · OR 96 parC8 @ Gulfstream 22/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 95 · 5f Fas 120 · beat its mark22/05/2025 · OR 95 par22/05C8OR 95C8 @ Gulfstream 11/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 95 · 5f 122 · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 95 parC7 @ Gulfstream 01/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 98 · 5f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 98 par1/01C7OR 98C8 @ Gulfstream 14/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 94 · 5f110y 121 · beat its mark14/03/2026 · OR 94 parC7 @ Gulfstream 05/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 100 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 100 par5/04C7OR 100C6 @ Gulfstream 10/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 89 · 5f Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 89 parC7 @ Gulfstream 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 96 · 5f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 96 par21/06C7OR 96projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-21Gulfstream?4th3rd+1
2026-05-10Gulfstream?5th3rd+2
2026-04-05Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1
2026-03-14Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-01-01Gulfstream?7th6th+1
2025-07-11Gulfstream?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0311/075/0421/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength44%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
19/04/20255th11/271%33%-0.38
22/05/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
11/07/20253rd11/486%67%-0.19
01/01/20267th3/184%0%-0.84
14/03/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
05/04/20263rd10/147%71%+0.24
10/05/20265th10/382%43%-0.40
21/06/20264th10/382%25%-0.57