3
Harcyn
6yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 102
Del Mar · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 20/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 08/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 21/02/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 9% | -0.44 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |