Malibu Coast
6yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 99
Del Mar · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-10-12 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2024-08-17 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2024-07-21 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/05/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 31/05/2024 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 21/07/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 17/08/2024 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 12/10/2024 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |