4
Tigerhon
8yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 110
Del Mar · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 03/11/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 45% | -0.26 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |