Johnlino
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 73
Del Mar · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 26/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 20/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |