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R Danny Boy

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69

Del Mar · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Santa Anita 15/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 12415/02C9C9 @ Santa Anita 22/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 73 · 6f Fm 126 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 73 par22/03C9OR 73C9 @ Santa Anita 29/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 56 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 56 par29/03C9OR 56C9 @ Santa Anita 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 63 · 5f110y Fas 126 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 63 par3/05C9OR 63C9 @ Santa Anita 08/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 69 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 69 par8/06C9OR 69projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-08Santa Anita?5th6th−1
2026-05-03Santa Anita?2nd3rd−1
2026-03-29Santa Anita?2nd3rd−1
2026-03-22Santa Anita?10th11th−1
2026-02-15Santa Anita?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0222/0329/033/058/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength65%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/02/20264th40/10%67%+0.67
22/03/202610th40/10%0%0.00
29/03/20262nd14/126%83%+0.57
03/05/20262nd5/174%91%+0.17
08/06/20265th7/491%67%-0.24