6
Tiger Strength
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 71
Del Mar · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 29/06/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 30/08/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 08/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |