3
Guard Of Honour
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 66
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength28%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |