1
It A Lee
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 60
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 24/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |