2

Zaino
5yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 65
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-02-05 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2024 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 26/10/2024 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/12/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/02/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 02/05/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 07/06/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 19/07/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 07/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/08/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |