2
Final Engagement
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 57
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-09-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 03/10/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 11/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |