6
Izzy's Rock Star
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 64
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
76%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 11/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 71% | -0.24 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |