IvyArcIvyArc
5

Racquel Blue

5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 55

Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength89%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Oaklawn Park 22/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS22/12C6C6 @ Oaklawn Park 19/01/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/01/2025 · OR 78 parC6 @ Oaklawn Park 08/02/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 47 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/02/2025 · OR 47 par8/02C6OR 47C6 @ Hawthorne 06/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 51 · 5f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/04/2025 · OR 51 parC6 @ Canterbury Park 01/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 48 · 5f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2025 · OR 48 par1/06C6OR 48C6 @ Canterbury Park 19/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 58 · 5f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2025 · OR 58 parC6 @ Canterbury Park 10/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 55 · 5f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/07/2025 · OR 55 par10/07C6OR 55C6 @ Canterbury Park 06/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 53 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 53 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 04/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 56 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 56 par4/09C5OR 56projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-09-04Canterbury Park?5th2nd+3
2025-08-06Canterbury Park?1st-1th+2
2025-07-10Canterbury Park?5th3rd+2
2025-06-19Canterbury Park?8th6th+2
2025-06-01Canterbury Park?2nd0th+2
2025-04-06Hawthorne?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/126/0410/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/12/20245th9/153%56%+0.03
19/01/202510th9/153%0%-0.53
08/02/20258th25/10%13%+0.13
06/04/20256th7/282%38%-0.44
01/06/20252nd1/195%83%-0.11
19/06/20258th2/189%22%-0.67
10/07/20255th10/382%33%-0.49
06/08/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
04/09/20255th11/486%20%-0.66