IvyArcIvyArc
17

Best Bet

8yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 86

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

#17

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength6%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Aqueduct 05/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m Fas 121 · below its mark05/04/2025 · OR 77 par5/04C8OR 77C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 18/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 75 · 7f Fas 118 · below its mark18/05/2025 · OR 75 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 74 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark21/06/2025 · OR 74 par21/06C7OR 74C8 @ Saratoga 17/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 73 · 7f 122 · below its mark17/07/2025 · OR 73 parC8 @ Saratoga 22/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 80 · 1m Fas 123 · beat its mark22/08/2025 · OR 80 par22/08C8OR 80C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 05/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 79 · 7f 123 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 79 parC8 @ Aqueduct 06/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 83 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark06/11/2025 · OR 83 par6/11C8OR 83C8 @ Aqueduct 10/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 86 · 1m1f 123 · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Aqueduct 19/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 91 · 7f 123 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 91 par19/02C7OR 91projClass-projected finish: 17th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-19Aqueduct?7th7th0
2026-01-10Aqueduct?2nd3rd−1
2025-11-06Aqueduct?3rd4th−1
2025-10-05Belmont At The Big A?3rd4th−1
2025-08-22Saratoga?1st2nd−1
2025-07-17Saratoga?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0417/076/1119/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 17
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength39%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20259th6/168%0%-0.68
18/05/20252nd5/174%83%+0.10
21/06/20259th12/137%0%-0.37
17/07/20254th9/153%67%+0.14
22/08/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
05/10/20253rd7/282%71%-0.10
06/11/20253rd5/287%60%-0.27
10/01/20262nd7/491%67%-0.24
19/02/20267th6/168%0%-0.68